It will be the final major of 2021 and the last of the six comprising the 2020-21 PGA Tour 4 Potential PGA TOUR Golf Sleeper Picks: BMW Championship. He lost three strokes on approach at Riviera, a trend that has become more common for him than in any other point in his career. There is no one way to attack TPC Scottsdale, however a profile of elite ball striking has been the common thread amongst contenders here over the years. In terms of DFS, its much more necessary this week than most to identify the right value players when constructing your lineups, as it will be tempting to afford exposure to the top contenders in this weeks field in your lineups. 2nd Chance Bet Jon Rahm and Scottie Scheffler have combined to win each of the first three elevated events of 2023. I love to pounce on players that are coming off an MC in which they gained strokes in both ball-striking categories, which was the case for Matsuyama at Riviera. As a 7,216 yard par-71, TPC Scottsdale is about average in terms of total yardage, but plays shorter than the scorecard suggests in firm and dry conditions at elevation. As the Florida swing continues, the PGA Tour heads to Bay Hill Club and Lodge in Orlando for the Arnold While Fowler didnt pull off the victory, he played quite well, outperforming his long odds to finish the tournament at 10 under, nine shots off Scottie Schefflers winning score and good enough for a T10, which means if you bet on him to finish in the top 10 as we did, you made a little money. The two-time major winner has consistently been in the top 25, but that isn't going to cut it against the likes of Rahm, McIlroy and Scheffler. Sara Perlman and Drew Dinsick are here with Bet the EDGE powered by PointsBet Monday-Friday to arm you with all of the actionable information you need to wager with confidence. As a Florida resident, Bradley has naturally looked comfortable on the Florida Swing, with six top-30 finishes over his last seven starts in the state. by Mastercard. An impressive 44 of the top 50 players in the Official World Golf Rankings are set to tee off at Bay Hill on Thursday. But the hole I like best at Bay Hill is the par-4 eighth, a lovely dogleg-right with a diagonal green perched above a small circular pond. Now, McDonald has sifted through the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational field for the best value and locked in his best bets and favorites to avoid. Matchup Results from the Honda Classic: Caddie: 1 for 1 (Griffin (+130) over Frittelli and O Hair, Round 1); Mayo: 1 for 1 (Meronk (+105) over C. Davis); Gehman: 1 for 1 (M.W. He came to Golf Digests betting panel after previously writing for Golf.com, the Score and GolfWRX. Although his history at Bay Hill isnt extensive, he did finish T-24 here in 2020, his lone start. Thats remarkable and, while it has made his outright odds tough to stomach, I think that the Top 5 odds are more than palatable at this price given that hes done that at an 80% rate so far this season. The 9-hole China Creek Golf Course in Arlington, Shane Lowry of Ireland tees off on the 3rd hole during the continuation of Round Two on Day Three of the Hero Dubai Desert Classic at Emirates And while Fleetwood has yet to win in the U.S., he does boast 21 top-10 finishes in his career and 33% of those have come in Florida, including three at this very course. Phone (s): (541) 454-2000. Wish it wouldve been his win at the Genesis but I still think he has win equity again this week and Im ready to burn him as a OaD play this week at Bay Hill. After spending last year on the Korn Ferry Tour, An has not missed the cut in five starts in 2023 and is coming off a T21 finish at the Honda Classic, where he was hanging around the top-5 heading into Sunday. The Wake Forest connection with Arnold Palmer is obvious, but more so, hes very much like Rory in that hes a bomber who likes to move it from right to left. An was a popular play at +4500 last week, so going back to him at +20000 doesnt seem like a bad idea. Shane Lowry of Ireland tees off on the 3rd hole during the continuation of Round Two on Day Three of the Hero Dubai Desert Classic at Emirates Golf Club on January 28, 2023 in Dubai, United Arab Emirates. Up to $1,250 on Caesars. >. Skip to navigation. Only he and Jon Rahm rank top-10 in SG/tee-to-green and SG/putting over the past 50 rounds, according to datagolf. In a field as top-heavy as this one with so many elite options, a safe, high floor value player is going to be a must for DFS lineup construction purposes. With all the top PGA Tour stars teeing it up again this week, the betting favorites share a lot of similarities with the very top of the Official World Golf Ranking. Mayo: Tommy Fleetwood (+105) over Cameron Young (DraftKings) Fleetwood has a long history of success at Bay Hill and while Cam Young looked good in his first start at API, hes been one of the worst-performing wind players in the field. This years purse is set at $20,000,000, and some exciting players are in the field. I love that he is now traveling to a course that will put less pressure on his putter, and I expect him to build upon his 13th-place finish last year. All picks and predictions are suggestions only. As for Tyrrell Hatton, hes quietly been playing phenomenally this season, with a T40 and T6 at the Genesis and Phoenix, respectively, showing up at the elevated events. The Wake Forest star remains one of the best drivers of the ball on long golf courses, as well as one of the best long iron players in the field. Other long shots worth a look this week are a few pros who have been recently featured here, including Adam Scott (+10000), Sepp Straka (+12500) and Beau 9 this week. Mix in the fact hes gone fifth-eighth-15th-13th in his last four starts at API and youve got the recipe for a Florida Swing heater. Tommy Fleetwood of England looks on from the fourth hole during the second round of the WM Phoenix Open at TPC Scottsdale on February 10, 2023 in Scottsdale, Arizona. His 27 FSWA nominations lead all writers this decade and are second-most all-time. Sanderson Farms Championship: Sam Burns. PGA TOUR Golf Sleepers: 4 Potential WM Phoenix Open Longshot Picks Golf News Written By John Haslbauer on February 7, 2023 The greatest party in golf is Youll likely know pretty quickly with Kim, either hes making everything or nothing. The Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 field features 44 of the world's top 50 golfers, and they are in for a difficult test. You may not want to back the Merseysider in tournaments that will require you to score 20-under par, but this kind of set-up is right up his alley. In his last five starts and first five tournaments on the PGA Tour in 2023, Rahm has three victories, a Top 3 and a T7 finish. The PGA Tour's best will be back at it this week at Bay Hill Club & Lodge near Orlando, Fla., for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Just a few weeks after going off at +2800 at the WM Phoenix Open another tournament with an elite field on a challenging course Kim is sitting at +5000 for the Arnold Palmer Invitational. AT&T Pebble Beach: Maverick McNealy. Hes appeared at this event each year since 2013, making the cut a perfect 10 times with four top-11 finishes over that stretch. For one thing, it's rather hilly, a rarity in Florida (although not in the Orlando market) and dotted with sinkhole ponds incorporated in the design in dramatic ways. Its a coin flip to me who holds the belt at the end of the season, so Ill gladly take the plus money on the player with far better course history. With that said, the below plays still offer great value in the placement betting market. Were always looking for courses which wont require the winner to breach 20 under, and Bay Hill certainly qualifies. WebChris Kirk captured his first PGA Tour title since 2015, outlasting 34-year-old rookie Eric Cole in a sudden-death playoff. All advice, including picks and predictions, is based on individual commentators opinions and not that of Minute Media or its related brands. Hes played this event four times and has yet to make the cut. Andy Lack, RickRunGood.com and Inside Golf podcast: Will Zalatoris (22-1, DraftKings) Zalatoris answered the lingering injury questions with a fourth-place finish at Riviera, where he gained 3.9 strokes off the tee, four strokes on approach, 2.4 strokes around the green and 2.4 strokes putting. Join SportsLine right now to see Patrick McDonald's top picks for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, all from the expert up more than $2,000 for the 2022-23 season, and find out! For example, Kim was one of the most popular up-and-comers out of the gates in 2023. Gdula also co-hosts the DFS Heat Check podcast. Scottie Scheffler looks to defend his title at Bay Hill and is searching for his second win of 2023. Justin Thomas and Xander Schauffele, who both had solid performances at the WM Phoenix Open, come in tied for third with +1600 odds-to-win. WebThe 9-hole China Creek Golf Course in Arlington, OR is a municipal golf course that opened in 2003. Shane Lowry of Ireland tees off on the 3rd hole during the continuation of Round Two on Day Three of the Hero Dubai Desert Classic at Emirates He is a passionate golf fan, golf writer, and (casual) golfer. That said, the presence of these elites has pushed quality players to a discounted odds range, creating some appealing value if any of the elites falter. Powers, Golf Digest: Shane Lowry (65-1, FanDuel) Last week he was the toast of the town as the second favorite, and he wound up finishing top five. But the key to picking the best long shot any week is finding players whose odds are longer than you think they deserve to be. Since the start of the season, hes gaining 1.86 strokes per roundthird to only Jon Rahm and Scottie Scheffler. 2 Rory McIlroy at +1000. Weve been up and down with our PGA Tour expert picks and best bets for these elevated events thus far but after a solid week at the Honda that was close to being great, were about to lock in with our Arnold Palmer Invitational picks. He gained 7.86 strokes ball-striking at Riviera, the most in a single event since his win in Memphis, per the RickRunGood.com golf database. Lack: Rory McIlroy (+110) over Jon Rahm (PointsBet) This matchup will be extremely fun to track, as I believe Rory McIlroy and Jon Rahm have emerged as far and away the two best players in the world. Here are your options. Houston Open: Sepp Straka. The PGA Tour schedule is full of peaks and valleys. Hes been rounding into that DNA form recently, improving his strokes gained with ball striking in each of the past three tournaments. (Pat Mayo also had runner-up Eric Cole as a +900 top-10 bet.) The PGA TOUR heads back to Texas this week for the 2021 Charles Schwab Challenge at Colonial. 1 Jon Rahm leads a stacked field that includes 23 of the top 25 players in the Official World Golf Ranking. Zalatoris has spoken only about the fact that his favorite style of golf is U.S. Open conditions, and with rock-hard greens and extremely thick rough, Bay Hill is about as close to a U.S.-Open-like setup well see all season. Poston. Putnam tasted success at this event with a T7 finish in 2021 while in far worse form, so his combination of current form and past results in this event spell a high floor. Weve been on a heater in the matchup and top-10 markets, going up more than 27 units this season. Pendrith is one of eight players in the field to rank top 15 in both Driving Distance and SG: OTT. Four of the previous five champions have won with scores around 21- to 22-under par. The course sets up for Rory as a drawer and bomber. 1 Jon Rahm leads a stacked field that includes 23 of the top 25 players in the Official World Golf Ranking. Breaking down the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks for this week at Bay Hill with our best bets, One and Done selection and more PGA Tour expert picks. Hoffmans four top-15 finishes at the Arnold Palmer Invitational over the last five years are especially notable. Lee (-110) over Kuchar); Powers: 1 for 1 (Griffin (+100) over C. Davis); Gdula: 0 for 1; Hennessey: 0 for 1; Lack: 0 for 1, Matchup Results from this season (Wins-Losses-Pushes): Hennessey: 11-6-0 (up 4.1 units); Gehman: 10-5-2 (up 3.92 units); Powers: 9-8-0 (up 0.63 units); Lack: 4-4-0 (down 0.3 units); Mayo: 8-8-0 (down 0.51 units); Caddie: 8-9-0 (down 1.16 units); Gdula: 5-11-1 (down 6.42 units), RELATED: Here are the odds for every player in the field at the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Your favorite teams, topics, and players all on your favorite mobile devices. A good way to hedge that is by employing him in OAD. In terms of pure value, youd be hard pressed to find a better bet on the board than the former Masters champion. Shriners: Taylor Montgomery. managing editor: Will Zalatoris (22-1, DraftKings) This is inching toward a community bet, and golf betting isnt that easy. Obviously, we still have the 90/1 Luke List winner to fall back on. Five 2022 PGA Championship Longshots and Darkhorses We Love To win your PGA Championship pool, you need to find the longshots and darkhorses with longer odds at Southern Hills, so here are some sleepers in the field. Finau has a much better chance to win it all than his odds imply, so he's a target for Earlier this week, I previewed the PGA Championship focusing on three of the favorites at Southern Hills. American Express: Cameron Young. After a lull last week with the Honda Classic, the heat picks up considerably for the next few weeks as we head to Bay Hill for the Arnold Palmier Invitational followed by THE PLAYERS Championship at TPC Sawgrass. The odds arent pretty, but my gut tells me that either Rory McIlroy or Jon Rahm is winning at Arnies place this week and Im going with the slightly better odds. For the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023, Holliman is backing several longshots, including two players in his top 10 who are priced at almost 30-1. Gehman: Rory McIlroy Remember, these elevated events have replaced majors as the biggest purses in golf. The PGA Tour's best will be back at it this week at Bay Hill Club & Lodge near Orlando, Fla., for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Stats pulled across Last 24 Rounds unless otherwise noted. Heres our pick, the betting favorites and everything else you need to know for the week. 2023 WM Phoenix Open: Rickie Fowler (Odds: +8000; Finish: T10)2023 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am: Beau Hossler (Odds +8000; Finish: T11)2023 Farmers Insurance Open: Rickie Fowler (Odds: +10000; Finish: T11)2023 Sony Open in Hawaii: Kurt Kitayama (Odds: +5000; Finish: T73)2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions: Ryan Brehm (Odds: +75000; Finish: T35). Shriners: Sungjae Im. But we have our eyes on another former Masters champ as our long-shot bet to win. Best of luck if you choose to bet these PGA TOUR golf sleepers! McIlroy vs. Scheffler, a loaded LPGA field and more to watch in golf this week. Golf betting record in 2023 through Honda:12-27-1, -3.234 units (0-8 on outrights, 0.5 unit bets | +0.98 units at Honda)One-and-Done record in 2023: $1,523,924.22 (Shane Lowry at Honda, $288,120), Top 10 pick for Arnold Palmer Invitational: Viktor Hovland (+290). McIlroy has gained strokes putting at Bay Hill in four of his past five trips, which has translated to one win, four top-10s and no finish worse than T-13. Caddie: Cameron Young (+360, DraftKings) As I said above, the course fits what he does well, and these are nice odds for someone who top-10s it a bunch (not this year, which is why its nearly 4-to-1. That makes Scrambling and Bogey Avoidance of premium importance. Sanderson Farms Championship: J.T. Keegan Bradley a sleeper no more? Brandon Gdula, FanDuel/numberFire managing editor: Xander Schauffele (24-1, FanDuel) Bay Hill is a demanding test overall, and Schauffele has an all-around game thats as good as anyones. >. Hes a major champion, a WGC winner (remember those?) Hes not backing down. Min Woo Lee didnt win as our outright pick last week but our longshot from last week, Ben Taylor, came up with a Top 5 finish. Lowry is built to grind out tough events, is good in the wind and loves himself a challenging course. At the time, Fowler had long odds of +8000, which improved to +6600 before the start of the tournament on Thursday. RSM Classic: Brendon Todd. For now, well assume equal playing conditions for the full field when determining top value plays until more information becomes available on tee times and Thursday/Friday weather reports. But before we down our tools for the week, look at the odds of the most recent winners of the Genesis Invitational. Now were getting a little bold. McDonald NAILED the Farmers Insurance Open, backing Homa (25-1) as his top choice! Mayo: Keith Mitchell (45-1, DraftKings) The number is just too high when you can keep scrolling past his name and find truly elite players who just happen to be in worse current form. The intangible Im looking for from players inside the arena at TPC Scottsdale is an ability to perform in a high pressure atmosphere, and Steele has displayed poise in big moments, finishing top-15 at the PGA Championship and THE PLAYERS last season. Previous weeks: Fortinet Championship: Sahith Theegala. I expect the Japanese superstar to remind us that he is still a top-20 player in the world and have a great chance to pick up PGA Tour victory No. American Express: Brian Harman. Best irons for 2023 for every handicap and playing style, Three sleeper picks to win the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational, including Tommy Fleetwood at 80/1, Ratings for LIV Golf's 2023 TV debut are in and they aren't pretty, Your California Privacy Rights/Privacy Policy. Sony Open: Hideki Matsuyama. Mitchells ball-striking should put him in the mix here, and I love the Bermuda putting splits. Full Leaderboard . Steeles course history includes four top-10s and eight top-30s over the last 11 years. Generally speaking, this is not a week Im giving longshots much of a chance to contend. (Photo by Luke Walker/Getty Images), Back Shohei Ohtani, Japan in World Baseball Classic futures market. DFS Golf News. World No. Final DraftKings Picks PGA DFS Lineups - The Honda Classic Invitational Daily Fantasy Golf Advice (Premium Content) LIV Golf Betting Picks - 2023 Mayakoba. Shop the best odds for PGA TOUR golf sleepers and more highly-touted players across sportsbooks here, including for top 10, top 20, etc. Touts are lame. PGA $1M Pitch & Putt: Because theres variance at work at Bay Hill given the complexity of the conditions and the wind, theres a chance to win big in the $1 million contest this week if you fall on the right side of the carnage. RSM Classic: Brian Harman. by Mastercard. All of that makes Scott a great long shot pick this week. And while hes only played in two PGA Tour events this season (29th at the Sentry Tournament of Champions and T21 at the Sony Open), Scott had a solid year last season, missing only two cuts in 20 tries and collecting five top-10s, four of which were top-5s. Previous weeks: Fortinet Championship: Emiliano Grillo. Keith Mitchell has grabbed two top fives in his last three starts. CJ Cup: Sungjae Im. Justin Thomas enters play in the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard at Bay Hill Club & Lodge with +2500 odds to win after a 20th-place Lack: Sungjae Im (33-1, BetMGM) This is a pure situational fade for me. The expert's two other longshots -- Austin Smotherman (65-1) and Hayden Buckley (80-1) -- both finished in the top 26. Hes just six starts removed from gaining nearly six strokes to the field on approach in Houston, and if he has anywhere close to that result with his elite off-the-tee game, plus his prowess on grainy Bermuda greens, he can absolutely follow Chris Kirk as back-to-back Georgia Bulldog victories. However, Taylor Pendrith is a much more talented player than the gaudy odds would suggest. Pat Mayo, DraftKings/Fantasy National, Mayo Media Network analyst: Will Zalatoris (22-1, DraftKings) The concerns over Zalatoris health appear to be over after his immaculate ball-striking performance at The Genesis two weeks back.
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