Logistical Shift: How New Rail Routes Will Transform Russia’s Ukraine Campaign

3GIMBALS’ OMENTM analysis identified new rail construction in Ukraine’s temporarily occupied territories (TOT). When complete, these railroad logistics routes will provide Russian military forces direct and secure logistics options with greater flexibility to transport ammunition, armor, fuel, and personnel. The location of these rail lines will diversify Russian military movement options away from the forward line of troops and vulnerable chokepoints, such as the Kerch Bridge directly connecting Russia to Crimea. Since Russia relies heavily on rail for logistics, this infrastructure project could have significant impacts on Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and long-term plans for the region.